July 11 2024 Active MLB Trends

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 Active MLB Trends

Bet on the Tigers First Five Innings +0.5 when Jack Flaherty Starts

  • The Tigers are 8-2 on the F5 +0.5 in Jack Flaherty's last 10 starts
  • Flaherty has allowed 8 total F5 runs in this span, allowing 1 or fewer in 9 of the 10 starts
  • Detroit is 7-3 on the F5 +0.5 across their last 10 games overall
  • Detroit is 4th in MLB in wRC+ since the start of July
  • The Play: Tigers F5 +0.5 (-180)

Bet on the Pirates First Five Innings Money Line when Paul Skenes Starts

  • The Pirates are 7-0-3 on the F5 ML when Paul Skenes starts this season
  • Skenes is allowing 1.3 F5 runs per game and has allowed 1 or fewer F5 runs in 7 of these
  • Pittsburgh is averaging 4.4 F5 runs per game in Skenes starts
  • Skenes has allowed 2 total F5 runs in his 4 road starts this season
  • Pittsburgh is 13-4 SU in their last 17 games off a loss
  • Pittsburgh is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games off a loss with a total < 9.0
  • The Play: Pirates F5 ML (-135)

Bet the Over when MacKenzie Gore Starts

  • The Over is 6-1 in MacKenzie Gore's last 7 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $480
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.3 with an average final score of 7.4-5.9
  • The Over is 5-1-1 in David Peterson's 7 starts this season
  • The Play: Nationals/Mets Over 8.5 (-120)

Bet on the Phillies First Five Innings Money Line when Aaron Nola Starts

  • The Phillies are 6-1 on the F5 ML in Aaron Nola's last 7 starts
  • Nola is limiting opponents to 1.86 F5 runs per game in this span
  • The Dodgers are 2-6-2 on the F5 ML in their last 10 games overall
  • The Play: Phillies F5 ML (-150)

Bet the Under when Albert Suarez Starts

  • The Under is 8-2-1 in Albert Suarez's last 11 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $580
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.3 with an average final score of 3.3-3.0
  • The Play: Cubs/Orioles Under 8.5 (+100)

Bet the Over when the Diamondbacks are coming off a Win with a Total < 9.0

  • The Over is 8-1 in the Diamondbacks last 9 games off a win with a total < 9.0
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $690
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.2 and an average final score of 6.1-5.2
  • The Play: Braves/Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (+115)

Bet on the Red Sox when Tanner Houck Starts

  • The Red Sox are 8-1 SU in Tanner Houck's last 9 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $690
  • Oakland is 2-14 SU in their last 16 Road games
  • Oakland is 1-12 SU in their last 13 Game 3s of a Series
  • Boston is 7-0 SU in their last 7 Game 3s of a Series
  • The Play: Red Sox ML (-220)

Bet Against the Rockies when they play a Day Game

  • The Rockies are 2-10 SU in their last 12 Day Games
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $565
  • Colorado is allowing 7.5 runs per game in this spot
  • The Reds are 4-1 SU, 4-1 RL in their last 5 games played on Thursday
  • The Play: Reds ML (-200)

Bet Against the Yankees when they play a Game 3 of a Series

  • The Yankees are 0-6 SU, 0-6 RL in their last 6 Game 3s of a Series
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $752
  • The Yankees are being outscored in these games on average 8.2-2.7
  • The Yankees have been a favorite in all 6 of these games
  • The Yankees are 28th in MLB in wRC+ since the start of July
  • The Play: Rays ML (+115)

Bet the Under when the Pirates play a Day Game

  • The Under is 11-1 in the Pirates last 12 Day Games
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $990
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.8 and an average final score of 3.5-2.5
  • The Under has hit in 5 straight in this spot when on the Road
  • The Under is 8-0 in the Pirates last 8 Game 3s of a Series
  • The Play: Pirates/Brewers Under 7.5 (-110)

Bet the Over when the Giants play a Day Game

  • The Over is 8-0 in the Giants last 8 Day Games
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $800
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.6 and an average final score of 5.8-5.6
  • The Over is 8-2 in the Giants last 10 Game 3s of a Series
  • The Over is 6-2 this season when Kevin Gausman starts a Day Game
  • The Over is 8-1-1 in the Blue Jays last 10 Game 3s of a Series
  • The Over is 11-3 in the Blue Jays last 14 games off a win with a total < 9.0
  • The Play: Blue Jays/Giants Over 7.5 (-110)
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