July 29 2024 Active MLB Trends

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 Active MLB Trends

Bet on the Mariners when Logan Gilbert Starts with a Money Line > +100

  • The Mariners are 9-2 SU, 10-1 RL since 2023 when Logan Gilbert starts with a money line > +100
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $834
  • Opponents are being limited to 2.8 runs per game in this spot
  • Seattle is 8-2 SU in this spot when they play on the Road
  • The Play: Mariners ML (+100)

Bet Against the White Sox when Chris Flexen Starts with a Money Line > +100

  • The White Sox are 6-27 SU since 2023 when Chris Flexen starts with a money line > +100
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $1,386
  • The White Sox have lost 14 straight in this spot, allowing 6.4 runs per game
  • Opponents are averaging 7.6 runs per game across Chris Flexen's last 5 starts
  • The White Sox are 6-29 SU in Game 1 of a Series this season, averaging only 2.3 runs
  • Chicago is 0-5-1 on the F5 ML in Flexen's last 6 starts
  • Chicago is 0-8-2 on the F5 ML across their last 10 games overall
  • The Play: Royals ML (-170)

Bet on the Diamondbacks as a Favorite coming off a Loss as a Favorite

  • The Diamondbacks are 11-1 SU this season as a favorite coming off a loss as a favorite
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $975
  • Arizona is outscoring opponents in this spot 6.1-3.2
  • Arizona is 4th in wRC+ in July
  • The Play: Diamondbacks ML (-170)

Bet on the Pirates First Five Innings Money Line when Paul Skenes Starts

  • The Pirates are 7-1-4 on the F5 ML in Paul Skenes starts this season
  • Skenes is allowing 1.16 F5 runs per game
  • Skenes has allowed 6 total F5 runs across his last 7 starts
  • Pittsburgh's only F5 loss in Skenes starts this season was a 1-0 loss
  • The Play: Pirates F5 ML (-160)

Bet on the Brewers First Five Innings Money Line when Colin Rea Starts

  • The Brewers are 5-1-2 on the F5 ML in Colin Rea's last 8 starts
  • Rea is limiting opponents to 1.5 F5 runs per game in this stretch
  • Atlanta is 27th in wRC+ in July
  • The Play: Brewers F5 ML (-120)

Bet Against the Nationals First Five Innings Money Line when Mitchell Parker 

  • The Nationals are 1-8-1 on the F5 ML in Mitchell Parker's last 10 starts
  • Parker is allowing 3.8 F5 runs per game in this stretch
  • Arizona is 4th in wRC+ in July
  • Washington is 2-6-2 on the F5 ML in their last 10 overall
  • Arizona only has 3 F5 ML losses in their last 10 overall
  • The Play: Diamondbacks F5 ML (-170)

Bet Against the White Sox when they Play on a Monday

  • The White Sox are 0-12 SU this season when playing on a Monday
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $1,200
  • Chicago is averaging 1.8 runs per game in this spot
  • Chicago is 30th in wRC+ in July, have scored 8 fewer runs than the next lowest
  • The Play: Royals ML (-170)

Bet the Over when the Nationals play a Game 1 of a Series on a Monday

  • The Over is 8-0 this season when the Nationals play a Game 1 on a Monday
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $800
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.2 with an average final score of 7.2-5.5
  • Arizona is 4th in wRC+ in July
  • The Over is 4-1-1 in this same spot in Diamondbacks games
  • The Play: Nationals/Diamondbacks Over 8.5 (-135)

Bet Against the Rangers when they play Game 1 on the Road

  • The Rangers are 1-10 SU in their last 11 Game 1s on the Road
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $985
  • Texas is allowing 6.5 runs per game in this spot, and have allowed 6+ runs in 4 of their last 5
  • The Cardinals are 8th in wRC+ in July, with the Rangers being 24th
  • Texas is 1-8 SU in their last 9 Road Games with a Total < 9.0 coming off a loss
  • Texas is averaging 2.7 runs per game in this spot
  • The Play: Cardinals ML (-105)

Bet the Under when the Guardians play Game 1 on the Road

  • The Under is 8-0 in the Guardians last 8 Game 1s on the Road
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $800
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.0 with an average final score of 2.1-1.9
  • Cleveland is 29th in Runs Scored and 28th in wRC+ in July
  • Opponents are averaging only 2.5 runs per game in Tanner Bibee's last 15 starts
  • Opponents are averaging only 2.4 runs per game in Jack Flaherty's last 8 starts
  • The Play: Guardians/Tigers Under 7.5 (-145)

Bet on the Astros when they play Game 1 at Home

  • The Astros are 11-2 SU in their last 13 Game 1s played at Home
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $795
  • Houston is averaging 6.3 runs per game in this spot
  • The Pirates are averaging 3.3 runs per game in their last 11 Road Games vs an opp above .500
  • The Play: Astros ML (+115)
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