July 30 2024 Active MLB Trends

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 Active MLB Trends

Bet on the Phillies First Five Innings Money Line when Aaron Nola Starts

  • The Phillies are 8-2-1 on the F5 ML in Aaron Nola's last 11 starts
  • Nola is limiting opponents to 1.82 F5 runs per game in these starts
  • The Phillies have only lost 3 F5 MLs in their last 10 games overall
  • The Play: Phillies F5 ML (-125)

Bet the Over when Chris Bassitt Starts

  • The Over is 5-1 in Chris Bassitts last 6 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $400
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.0 with an average final score of 6.5-5.3
  • Baltimore and Toronto are 4th and 9th in wRC+ since July 14
  • The Over is 4-1 in Corbin Burnes' last 5 starts
  • The Play: Blue Jays/Orioles Over 8.5 (-105)

Bet on the Orioles First Five Innings Money Line when Corbin Burnes Starts

  • The Orioles are 8-2-1 on the F5 ML in Corbin Burnes last 11 starts
  • Baltimore is outscoring opponents in the F5 in these games 4.09-1.73
  • Baltimore is 4th in wRC+ and Runs Scored since July 14
  • Burnes allowed 1 or fewer F5 runs in 7 of these
  • The Play: Orioles F5 ML (-210)

Bet on the Cubs First Five Innings Money Line when Justin Steele Starts

  • The Cubs are 5-1-2 on the F5 ML in Justin Steele's last 8 starts
  • Steele is limiting opponents to 1.62 F5 runs in these starts
  • Steele has allowed 15 total ER across his last 52 IP (2.60 ERA)
  • 48 Ks, 11 BBs, and only 2 HRs allowed in this span
  • Cincinnati has a Team BA of .199 since July 14
  • The Play: Cubs F5 ML (-125)

Bet the Under when Justin Steele Starts

  • The Under is 7-1-1 in Justin Steele's last 9 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $585
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.2 with an average final score of 3.9-2.8
  • Since July 14, the Reds have a Team BA of .199 and the Cubs have a Team BA of .209
  • These two teams are 27th and 28th in wRC+ since July 14
  • The Play: Cubs/Reds Under 9.5 (-135)

Bet on the Mets when Sean Manaea Starts

  • The Mets are 5-1 SU in Sean Manaea's last 6 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $421
  • The Mets are outscoring opponents 7.5-3.5 in these games
  • The Mets are 5th in wRC+ since July 14
  • The Twins have lost 4 straight road games facing a LHP starter
  • The Play: Mets ML (-130)

Bet on the Mets in Game 2 of a Series coming off a Win

  • The Mets are 13-2 SU in their last 15 Game 2s of a Series coming off a Win
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $1,156
  • The Mets are averaging 6.9 runs per game in this spot
  • The Mets are 5th in wRC+ since July 14
  • The Twins have lost 4 straight road games facing a LHP starter
  • The Play: Mets ML (-130)

Bet on the Cardinals when Lance Lynn Starts at Home

  • The Cardinals are 6-0 SU, 6-0 RL in Lance Lynn's last 6 starts at Home
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $649
  • Opponents are averaging 2.5 runs per game in these games
  • The Rangers are 2-9 SU in their last 11 Non-Divisional Road Games
  • The Play: Cardinals ML (+100)

Bet on the Astros First Five Innings Money Line when Hunter Brown Starts

  • The Astros are 9-1-1 on the F5 ML in Hunter Brown's last 11 starts
  • Opponents are averaging 1.09 F5 Runs per game in these games
  • The Pirates are 2-6-2 on the F5 ML in their last 10 overall
  • Hunter Brown has allowed 1 or fewer F5 runs in 9 of these starts
  • The Pirates are 2-9 SU as an Away Dog coming off an Away Win
  • The Play: Astros F5 ML (-200)

Bet on the Astros when Hunter Brown Starts

  • The Astros are 8-1 SU, 8-1 RL in Hunter Brown's last 9 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $700
  • Opponents are averaging 2.0 runs per game in these 9 starts
  • Hunter Brown has a 1.80 ERA, 58 SOs, 2 HRs Allowed in 55 IP
  • The Play: Astros ML (-180)

Bet Against the Nationals when Patrick Corbin Starts

  • The Nationals are 2-11 in Patrick Corbin's last 13 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $793
  • Washington is being outscored 6.0-2.6 in these games
  • Arizona has a 119 wRC+ since July 14, 6th in Runs Scored
  • Arizona is 6-1 SU in Ryne Nelson's last 7 starts
  • The Play: Diamondbacks ML (-160)

Bet on the Rays with a Money Line < -120 and Total < 9.0

  • The Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games with a Money Line < -120 and Total < 9.0
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $865
  • Opponents are averaging 2.5 runs per game in this spot
  • The Play: Rays ML (-160)
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