July 31 2024 Active MLB Trends

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 Active MLB Trends

Bet the Under when Logan Webb Starts with a Money Line < -140

  • The Under is 16-4 since 2023 when Logan Webb starts with a ML < -140
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $1,170
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.3 with an average final score of 3.5-3.3
  • Opponents are averaging 2.9 runs per game in this spot when Webb pitches at Home
  • The Play: Athletics/Giants Under 7.5 (-105)

Bet Against the Yankees when Nestor Cortes Starts on the Road

  • The Yankees are 1-9 SU in Nestor Cortes' last 10 Road Starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $917
  • Opponents are averaging 6.2 runs per game in this spot
  • Cortes' Road ERA is 3.70 runs higher on the road
  • The Phillies are 3rd in MLB in wRC+ vs LHP
  • The PLay: Phillies ML (-120)

Bet Against the Marlins First Five Innings Money Line when Roddery Munoz Starts

  • The Marlins are 0-6-1 on the F5 ML when Roddery Munoz starts
  • Opponents are averaging 3.86 F5 runs per game 
  • The Play: Rays F5 ML (-230)

Bet on the Rays when Taj Bradley Starts

  • The Rays are 7-1 SU in Taj Bradley's last 8 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $684
  • Opponents are averaging only 1.5 runs per game in this span
  • Bradley is 1st in MLB in ERA in this span at 0.72
  • Bradley has only allowed 4 ER in 50 IP with 58 Ks
  • Bradley's Home ERA is 2.28 runs lower than his Road ERA
  • The Play: Rays ML (-225)

Bet the Over when Grayson Rodriguez Starts Against a Team Below .500

  • The Over is 9-0 when Grayson Rodriguez starts against a team below .500
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $900
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.2 with an average final score of 8.6-5.0
  • Baltimore is 5th in wRC+ in the last 14 days
  • Baltimore is also 7-2 SU in this spot
  • The Play: Blue Jays/Orioles Over 9.5 (+110)

Bet on the Braves when Chris Sale Starts Against a Team Above .500

  • The Braves are 8-1 SU, 8-1 RL when Chris Sale starts against a team above .500
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $682
  • Opponents are averaging only 1.6 runs per game in this spot
  • The Play: Braves ML (-120)

Bet on the Diamondbacks when Zac Gallen Starts with a Total > 8.0

  • The Diamondbacks are 6-1 SU, 6-1 RL when Zac Gallen starts with a Total < 8.0
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $418
  • Opponents are averaging only 1.7 runs per game in this spot
  • Arizona is 4th in wRC+ in MLB over the last 14 days
  • The Play: Diamondbacks ML (-175)

Bet the Over when Brayan Bello Starts

  • The Over is 10-2-1 in Brayan Bello's last 13 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $790
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.8 with an average final score of 6.2-6.0
  • Boston is 3rd in wRC+ over the last 14 days
  • The Play: Mariners/Red Sox Over 9.5 (-105)

Bet the Over when the Mariners play at the Red Sox

  • The Over is 15-1 since 2019 when the Mariners play at the Red Sox
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $1,385
  • These games have had an average O/U of 9.6 with an average final score of 7.8-5.2
  • The Over is 9-0 in this spot with a total > 9.0
  • The Over is 7-0 when the Mariners play a Road Game 3 off a Win
  • The Play: Mariners/Red Sox Over 9.5 (-105)

Bet the Under when Kyle Hendricks Starts

  • The Under is 5-1 in Kyle Hendricks' last 5 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the Under would be up $385
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.4 with an average final score of 4.8-1.2
  • CIN and CHC are both in the bottom 5 in MLB in wRC+ over the last 14 days
  • The Under is 3-0-1 when Nick Lodolo starts against a divisional opponent
  • The Under is 6-1-1 when the Cubs play a Road Game 3 off a Loss
  • The Play: Cubs/Reds Under 9.5 (-115)

Bet on the Astros when Framber Valdez Starts

  • The Astros are 6-0 SU, 6-0 RL in Framber Valdez last 6 starts
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $618
  • Houston is outscoring opponents in this spot 6.7-2.2
  • Pittsburgh is 22nd in wRC+ over the last 14 days
  • The Play: Astros ML (-220)

Bet Against the White Sox when they play a Game 3 of a Series

  • The White Sox have lost 12 straight Game 3s of a Series
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $1,285
  • Chicago is being outscored in these games 7.0-2.8
  • The White Sox are dead last in wRC+ and Runs Scored over the last 14 days
  • The Play: Royals ML (-200)

Bet on the Twins when they play a Game 3 of a Series

  • The Twins are 11-2 SU in their last 13 Game 3s of a Series
  • A $100 Bettor on the ML would be up $884
  • The Twins are outscoring opponents 6.6-3.6 in this spot
  • The Play: Twins ML (-115)

Bet the Over when the Yankees play a Road Game 3 off a Win

  • The Over is 7-0 in the Yankees last 7 Road Game 3s off a Win
  • A $100 Bettor on the Over would be up $700
  • These games have had an average O/U of 8.8 with an average final score of 6.6-5.0
  • The Yankees are 1st in wRC+ over the last 14 days
  • The Phillies are 3rd in wRC+ vs LHP
  • The Play: Yankees/Phillies Over 9.5 (+100)
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