College Football Week 1 Trends

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 Week 1 Trends

Teams that are 3-0 ATS in Week 1 over the Last 3 Seasons

  • Alabama (Average Line -33.1)
  • Kentucky (Average Line -24.8)
  • Syracuse (Average Line -12.4)
  • Arizona (Average Line -10.0)
  • Penn State (Average Line -6.8)

Teams that are 0-3 ATS in Week 1 over the Last 3 Seasons

  • Eastern Michigan (Average Line -15.8)
  • LSU (Average Line -3.0)
  • Georgia State (Average Line +3.2)
  • Colorado State (Average Line +17.6)
  • Kent State (Average Line +28.1)
  • Oklahoma State (Average Line -22.1)
  • Miami (OH) (Average Line +14.1)
  • Temple (Average Line +14.2)

Teams that are 3-0 to the Over in Week 1 over the Last 3 Seasons

  • Arkansas (Average O/U: 55.2, Average Total: 59.7)
  • Auburn (Average O/U: 53.2, Average Total: 67.0)
  • Pittsburgh (Average O/U: 52.8, Average Total: 59.7)
  • Cincinnati (Average O/U: 53.7, Average Total: 65.6)

Teams that are 3-0 to the Under in Week 1 over the Last 3 Seasons

  • South Carolina (Average O/U: 56.6, Average Total: 47.7)
  • Maryland (Average O/U: 55.6, Average Total: 46.3)
  • Western Michigan (Average O/U: 58.9, Average Total: 53.7)
  • Michigan (Average O/U: 56.2, Average Total: 50.7)
  • Texas (Average O/U: 60.5, Average Total: 55.0)
  • Indiana (Average O/U: 51.0, Average Total: 36.4)
  • Iowa (Average O/U: 43.1, Average Total: 29.4)
  • Georgia (Average O/U: 52.8, Average Total: 40.0)
  • Clemson (Average O/U: 51.4, Average Total: 33.0)
  • Arizona State (Average O/U: 54.2, Average Total: 47.7)
  • North Carolina State (Average O/U: 54.4, Average Total: 41.3)

Ranked Opponents with a Line < -40 and a Total > 56.5 are 5-0 ATS since 2019

  • Ohio State -49.5 vs Akron
  • Oklahoma -42.5 vs Temple

Since 2010, the SEC is 4-0 ATS when playing a Home Game Against an ACC Opponent

  • Florida +2.5 vs Miami
  • Vanderbilt +13.0 vs Virginia Tech

Since 2018, SEC teams playing a Higher Ranked Team in Week 1 are 4-0 ATS

  • Texas A&M -3.0 vs Notre Dame

UNLV is 5-0-1 ATS since 2021 in Weeks 1-4 with a Line < 4

  • 1-1 SU as an Outright Dog, Loss was in Double Overtime by 2

The Over in Rice Games is 11-1 since 2021 in Weeks 1-4 

  • These games have had an average O/U of 53.9 with an average final score of 36-28.2

The Under is 9-0 in Arizona State Games since 2021 in Weeks 1-3

  • These games have had an average O/U of 54.0 with an average final score of 23.6-21.7

The Under is 6-1 since 2021 when a Big Ten team plays Week 1 with a Line < -29.5

  • Big Ten opponents are averaging 3.7 points per game in this spot
  • These games have had an average O/U of 54.3 with an average final score of 38.6-3.7
  • Applies to these teams in 2024 Week 1; Oregon, Ohio State, Purdue, Rutgers

Penn State is 9-0 SU, 9-0 ATS in Weeks 1-3 since 2021

  • Penn State is 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS in this spot when the line is > -10
  • Penn State is 13-2 ATS in Weeks 1-3 since 2018
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