NFL Week 9 Betting Notes

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 NFL Week 9 Betting Notes

The Jets are 0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Games

  • NYJ have lost 3 of these games as Favorites, including an 8-point Fav and a 9.5-point Fav
  • NYJ are averaging 16.6 PPG in this span
  • NYJ are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Prime Time games

The Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Games against the Bengals

  • LV is being outscored 27.5-14.7 in these games
  • LV has lost by 7+ in all of these games
  • The Under is 4-1-1 in these six games
  • None of these 6 meetings have gone over this weeks total of 46.5
  • LV is 31st in 3rd Down Conversion % over the last 3 weeks

The Unders is 10-2-2 in the last 14 Commanders at Giants Games

  • These games have had an average O/U of 43.1 with an average final score of 20.5-15.9
  • 7 straight meetings have stayed under 40 total points
  • The Under is 10-2 in the Giants last 12 Home Games
    • NYG is averaging 12.0 PPG in this spot
  • NYG is 30th in 3rd Down Conversion % over the last 3 weeks

The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 Saints vs Panthers Games

  • These games have had an average O/U 42.2 with an average final score of 21.8-13.5
  • Only one of these 8 games has gone over 40 total points, Week 1 this season when the Saint scored 47 points
  • Since Week 2, NO is averaging 15.7 PPG
  • CAR is averaging 15.5 PPG this season
  • The Under is 8-0 in the last 8 games when the Saints are playing the Second of Back to Back Road Games
  • CAR is 31st, NO is 30th in First Downs per game over the last 3 weeks
  • NO is 32nd in 3rd Down Conversion % over the last 3 weeks

The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 Rams vs Seahawks Games

  • These games have had an average O/U of 46.8 with an average final score of 22.2-17.0
  • The Under is 8-2 in SEA last 10 DIV games after allowing more than 275 Passing Yards
  • LAR is 1st in Opponent 3rd Down Conversion % over the last 3 weeks

The Bears are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Games as a Road Dog after allowing less than 20 Points

  • CHI is averaging 17.2 PPG in this spot
  • CHI has lost all 3 of its road games this season
  • The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 in this spot
    • CHI is averaging 14.0 PPG in these 5 games
  • The Under is 3-0 this season when CHI plays on the Road

The Over is 12-4 since 2020 when the Bills play at Home after allowing less than 20 Points

  • These games have had an average O/U of 45.5 with an average final score of 33.2-19.1
  • BUF has scored 30+ in 6 of the last 7 in this spot
  • The Over is 3-0 this season when the Bills play at Home
    • BUF is averaging 38.3 PPG at Home 

The Over is 19-6 since 2020 when the Eagles allowed less than 20 points the Game Prior

  • These games have had an average O/U of 44.7 with an average final score of 30.6-22.1
  • The Over has already hit in this spot in 3 games this season
  • The Over is 4-0 in JAX last 4 games, averaging 56 total points

The Over is 6-0 since 2022 when the Lions are a Favorite after allowing less than 20 Points

  • These games have had an average O/U of 47.3 with an average final score of 34.0-28.5
  • This spot is already 1-0 this season when the Lions beat the Seahawks 42-29
  • DET is 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS in this spot
  • The Over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 games, DET is averaging 43.0 PPG in these 4 games
  • DET has covered in 5 straight games

The Commanders are 16-5-4 ATS since 2020 when they allowed fewer than 200 Passing Yards in their Previous Game

  • WAS is already 3-0-1 ATS in this spot this season
  • WAS is 7-2-2 ATS in this spot on the Road
  • The Under is 7-2-1 in this spot when WAS is a Favorite
  • WAS is 6-0-1 ATS since Week 1
  • WAS is 5th in First Downs per game over the last 3 weeks

The Chiefs are 6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Games when they allowed fewer than 200 Passing Yards in their Previous Game

  • KC has won 4 of these games outright as a Dog
  • KC is only allowing 15.7 PPG in this spot
  • The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 in this spot when KC is a Home Favorite
  • KC is 2nd in First Downs per game over the last 3 weeks
  • KC is 2nd in 3rd Down Conversion % over the last 3 weeks

The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Games

  • IND is 4-2 SU in these 6 games, not losing by more than 3 points
  • Joe Flacco is 6-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons
  • IND is 5-0 ATS this season as a Dog, has not lost by more than 3 points in any of the 5
  • MIN is 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS since starting 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS
  • The Over is 7-0 in MIN last 7 games as a Home Favorite after allowing 275+ Passing Yards
  • MIN is 29th in First Downs per game over the last 3 weeks

The Under is 15-1 when the Cowboys are playing the Second of Back to Back Road Games

  • These games have had an average O/U of 46.5 with an average final score of 20.2-16.6
  • These games averaged 35.7 total points when DAL is a Road Dog
  • DAL has not scored more than 22 points in this spot as a Dog
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