October 2 2024 MLB Playoffs Day 2 Betting Notes

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MLB Playoffs Day 2 Betting Notes

Detroit Tigers (+150) at Houston Astros (-180)

  • The Under is 13-4 this season when Hunter Brown starts after a loss
    • These games have had an average O/U of 8.2 with an average final score of 3.94-3.12
  • In 2023, Home Teams that lost Game 1 went 1-5 SU in Game 2
  • Tyler Holton will start for DET, then "pitching chaos" will follow according to AJ Hinch
  • Since 2021, Favorites in Game 2 of a Series after using more than 5 pitchers in the previous game are 3-7 SU

Kansas City Royals (+140) at Baltimore Orioles (-165)

  • The Over is 6-0-1 since 2021 in Game 2 of a Series when a team scored 0 runs in Game 1
  • In 2023, Home Teams that lost Game 1 went 1-5 SU in Game 2
  • BAL is 7-2 in Zach Eflin starts since acquiring him
  • Zach Eflin has gone over 3.5 Ks in all 4 Home starts with BAL
    • KCR only struck out 4 times total in Game 1
  • Seth Lugo has gone over 3.5 Ks in his last 5 starts throwing over 36 pitches
  • The Under is 7-1 in Seth Lugo's last 8 Road starts
    • These games have had an average O/U of 8.3 with an average final score of 3.62-2.75
    • Lugo's Road ERA is 0.74 runs lower than his Home ERA

New York Mets (-105) at Milwaukee Brewers (-115)

  • NYM is 15-3 SU in Sean Manaea's last 18 starts
    • Opponents are averaging 2.89 RPG in this stretch
  • Manaea is averaging 6.9 Ks per start over his last 8 starts
  • MIL is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games vs a LHP Starter
    • MIL is averaging 5.57 RPG in these games
  • Rhys Hoskins is 2-6 with 2 HRs in his career vs Sean Manaea
  • Brice Turang is 3-3 in his career vs Sean Manea, went 3-5 in Game 1
  • MIL is 8-3 SU in Frankie Montas starts since acquiring him
  • Starling Marte is 5-8 in his career vs Frankie Montas
  • Frankie Montas has had 6+ Ks in his last 4 starts throwing more than 3 Innings
  • Montas has had 2+ BBs in 9 of last 10 starts

Atlanta Braves (+105) at San Diego Padres (-125)

  • The Over is 6-0-1 since 2021 in Game 2 of a Series when a team scored 0 runs in Game 1
  • ATL has won the last 3 games when Max Fried started on the Road off a Loss
  • Max Fried has had 6+ Ks in his last 5 starts
  • Max Fried has gone 6+ IP in his last 6 starts
  • SDP is 18th this season in wRC+ vs LHP
  • SDP is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games vs a LHP Starter
  • The Under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 games vs a LHP Starter
  • ATL is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games after being shutout
  • Luis Arraez is 4-8 in his career vs Max Fried
  • Manny Machado is 1-16 in his career vs Max Fried
  • Joe Musgrove is 4-1 SU in his last 5 Home games
  • Joe Musgrove has had 6+ Ks in his last 5 starts
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