October 9 2024 MLB Playoffs Betting Notes

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 MLB Playoffs Betting Notes

Cleveland Guardians (-115) at Detroit Tigers (-105)

  • Alex Cobb has only started 3 games this season
    • Has gone over his Total Outs line of 11.5 in all 3 of them
  • Cobb has had 3+ Ks in 11 of his last 15 career starts
  • The Under is 20-3-4 in CLE games since the start of September
    • Average final score of 3.59-2.70
  • The Under is 7-1-2 in CLE last 10 games as a Dog
  • CLE is hitting .183 this Postseason with a wRC+ of 71
  • DET and CLE have the highest K% of all teams left in the playoffs
  • The Under is 8-2-2 in DET last 12 games
  • The Under is 8-1-1 in DET last 10 Home games

Philadelphia Phillies (-110) at New York Mets (-110)

  • The Over is 6-1-1 in Ranger Suarez's last 8 starts
    • Opponents are averaging 5.38 RPG in this spot
  • PHI is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games as a Road Favorite
  • The Over is 8-2-1 in PHI last 11 games as a Road Favorite
  • The Over is 7-1 in PHI last 8 games against a LHP Starter
    • PHI averaging 5.62 RPG in this spot
  • The Over is 7-3 in NYM last 10 games vs a LHP Starter
  • NYM is 8-1 SU in their last 9 Home games vs a LHP Starter
  • Ranger Suarez BvP vs NYM
    • Pete Alonso 2-17 2 2B 4 Ks
    • Jose Iglesias 6-8 2 2B
    • Francisco Lindor 5-16 1 2B 1 HR
    • Brandon Nimmo 3-25 4 Ks
    • Mark Vientos 3-15 7 Ks
  • Jose Quintana BvP vs PHI
    • Alec Bohm 3-15 1 2B 1 HR
    • Nick Castellanos 13-53 2 HR 10 Ks
    • Bryce Harper 4-21 1 2B 1 HR 8 Ks
    • JT Realmuto 4-19

New York Yankees (-115) at Kansas City Royals (-105)

  • KC is 1-5 SU in Seth Lugo's last 6 starts with a total < 8.5
  • KC is 0-6 SU in their last 6 Home games
    • Avg 1.67 RPG across those 6 games
  • NYY is 7-2 SU in their last 9 Road games
    • Opponents are only averaging 1.56 RPG in these 9 games
    • NYY is 7-1 SU in this games as a Road Favorite
  • Seth Lugo's Home ERA is 0.74 runs higher than his Road ERA
  • Neither KC starter has gone over Lugo's 14.5 total outs line
  • KC starters have allowed 7 walks in the first two games of the series
  • Seth Lugo BvP vs NYY
    • Jazz Chisholm 1-11 5 Ks
    • Aaron judge 0-8 3 Ks
    • Giancarlo Stanton 3-14 6 Ks
  • Clarke Schmidt BvP vs KC
    • Salvador Perez 1-6 2 Ks
    • Bobby Witt Jr 1-6 2 Ks

Los Angeles Dodgers (+120) at San Diego Padres (-145)

  • SDP is 7-0 SU in their last 7 Home games
    • SDP is holding opponents to 2.14 RPG in this spot
  • SDP is 11-2 SU in their last 13 games as a Favorite
  • SDP has the lowest K% and highest BA of all the teams left in the playoffs
  • LAD is 2-11 SU this season as a Road Dog
    • LAD is being outscored in this spot 6.00-2.92
  • The Over is 15-2 in LAD last 17 Road Divisional games
    • Average final score of 7.12-6.35
  • Dylan Cease BvP vs LAD
    • Mookie Betts 2-10 4 Ks
    • Freddie Freeman 5-11
    • Kike Hernandez 5-12 2 2B 1 HR
    • Teoscar Hernandez 1-13 6 Ks
    • Shohei Ohtani 5-17 3 HRs
    • Will Smith 1-10 6 Ks
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