NBA Betting Notes November 19. 2024

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 NBA Betting Notes

The Lakers are 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS as a Home Favorite coming off a SU Win but an ATS Loss

  • LAL is outscoring opponents 132.2-114.6 in this spot
  • LAL is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Home games
  • LAL is 6th in Net Rating over the last 5 games, UTA is 20th
  • UTA is 25th in Net Rating on the Road this season
  • UTA is 26th in Def Rating on the Road, LAL is 2nd in Off Rating at Home
  • Home Favorites of 10+ with a Total > 230 are 8-3 ATS this season

The Lakers are 8-0 SU, 8-0 ATS in NBA Cup Games

  • LAL has had an average line of -4.7 with an average final score of 122.0-104.5
  • LAL has won by 11+ in 5 of these games
  • Lebron James averaged 26.4-8.0-7.6 in NBA Cup games last season
    • Recorded a Triple-Double in lone NBA Cup game this season

The Nets are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS as a Home Favorite off a Loss on 1 Day of Rest

  • BKN is outscoring opponents 114.1-100.2 in this spot
  • CHA is 27th in Net Rating on the Road this season
  • The Over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings, averaging 240 PPG
  • CHA has lost 5 straight Road games, being outscored 117.6-104.2
  • CHA is 2-10 ATS in since last season on the Road coming off a Game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists
    • CHA is only averaging 103 PPG in this spot

The Over is 8-2 this season in NBA Cup Games with a Total > 225

  • These 8 games that have gone Over have had an average O/U of 232.8 with an average final score of 121.2-119.9
  • Since 2023, BOS is averaging 122.4 PPG as a Home Favotrite with a Total > 230 
  • Since 2023, CLE is averaging 122.4 PPG with a Total > 230
  • The Over is 4-1 when MEM plays an NBA Cup game, allowing 122 PPG
    • Lakers vs Jazz, O/U 235.0
    • Grizzlies vs Nuggets, O/U 227.0
    • Celtics vs Cavaliers, O/U 235.5

The Over is 6-0 in the Celtics last 6 Games at Home coming off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists

  • These games have had an average O/U of 224.7 with an average final score of 119-117
  • BOS has scored 126+ in 3 of these games
  • The Over in this spot has already hit 3 times this season
  • BOS is 1-5 ATS in this spot and have lost 3 straight outright

The Over is 18-5-2 in the Thunder last 25 Games as a Road Favorite coming off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists

  • These games have had an average O/U of 228.2 with an average final score of 120-115
  • Victor Wembanyama is Out tonight, greatly diminishing SAS defense
  • OKC is 5th in Off Rating over the last 5 games
  • SAS is 7th in Off Rating at Home this season
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