NBA Betting Notes November 22, 2024

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 NBA Betting Notes

Brooklyn Nets (+6.0) at Philadelphia 76ers, O/U 217.5

  • BKN is 1-6 SU, 5-1-1 ATS as a Road Dog this season
    • BKN is 6-1-1 ATS on the Road
  • PHI is 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS at Home this season
    • PHI is being outscored 113-103 in these games
  • PHI is 0-4 ATS as a Favorite this season
  • PHI is 27th in Net Rating at Home
  • Tyrese Maxey has had 16+ points in his last 6 games vs BKN, averaging 24.7 PPG
  • Jared McCain has 3+ 3PM in 7 straight, O/U tonight 3.5 (+105)
    • BKN is 25th in Opponent 3PM over the last 5 games
    • BKN is dead last in Def Rating over the last 5 games
  • Joel Embiid has not made more than 1 3pt in a game this season
    • BKN is only allowing 1 3PM to Centers per game this season
    • Embiid has not made more than 1 3pt in 6 straight against BKN
    • Embiid is shooting 16% from 3pt this season

Boston Celtics (-15.5) at Washington Wizards, O/U 237.5

  • WAS is 0-9 SU, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games
    • WAS is being outscored 125-106 in these games
  • The Under is 9-2 in BOS last 11 Road games after playing consecutive Home games
    • These games have had an average O/U of 222 with an average final score of 111-101
  • Payton Prichard has gone over 12.5 Points (-120) in 11 of 15 games this season
  • BOS is 6th in Net Rating over the last 5 games, WAS is 29th
  • Jordan Poole has 5+ Assists in 5 straight
    • BOS 27th in Opponent Assists over last 5 games
    • BOS allowing 9th most APG to Shooting Guards this season
  • Kyle Kuzma has gone over 17.5 Points in 1 of last 10 games vs BOS
    • BOS is allowing the 2nd fewest PPG to Small Forwards this season
    • Kuzma went 6-16, 0-5 3pt for 12 Points in 1st meeting with BOS this season
  • Payton Prichard is averaging 17.3 PPG on the Road this season
    • WAS allowing 2nd most PPG to Point Guards this season
    • This game has massive blowout potential, could see increased minutes for Prichard
    • Prichard has 14+ points in 3 straight vs WAS, including a 38-point explosion
  • Al Horford has 2+ 3PM in 6 straight 
    • Horford has 9 3PM in his last 2 games total
    • WAS allows the most PPG to Centers this season
    • WAS allows the 5th most 3PM to Centers this season

Golden State Warriors (-10.5) at New Orleans Pelicans, O/U 223.5

  • GSW is 10-4 ATS this season, averaging 119 PPG
  • GSW is 6-2 ATS on the Road this season
  • NOP is 3-8 ATS as a Dog this season, being outscored 115-101
  • Steph Curry has had 5+ Assists in 9 of 11 games this season
    • Steph Curry Over 5.5 Assists (-140)
    • NOP is 30th in Def Rating over the last 5 games
    • Curry has had 5+ assists in 7 of last 10 vs NOP
  • NOP is 1-6 ATS as a 9+ point Dog in their last 7

Indiana Pacers (+5.5) at Milwaukee Bucks, O/U 237.5

  • The Over is 11-4 in IND games this season
    • The Over is 5-1 this season when IND is a Dog
    • These games have had an average O/U of 231 with an average final score of 125-121
  • IND is 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a Dog vs MIL
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 39.1 PPG in his last 10 games vs IND
    • Has 6 games with 37+ points in these 10 games
  • Damian Lillard has 8+ Assists in only 2 of his last 10 games vs IND
  • MIL is 8th, IND is 25th in Net Rating over the last 5 games
  • IND is 27th in Net Rating on the Road this season
  • Tyrese Haliburton has gone over 3.5 (-170) Rebounds in 9 of last 10 games vs MIL
    • MIL allows the 6th most RPG to PG this season at 6.74

Atlanta Hawks (-1.5) at Chicago Bulls, O/U 244.5

  • The Over is 11-5 in ATL games this season, but have gone Under in 3 straight
    • ATL last 3 Road games have all gone under
  • This is the first CHI game with a Total > 243 since at least 2000
  • CHI is 9-3-1 since 2021 against ATL
  • Zach Lavine has only gone over 22 points in 1 of his last 7 against ATL
  • CHI is 29th in Def Rating over the last 5 games
  • Trae Young has had 10+ Assists in 9 of last 10 games vs CHI
    • CHI allowed the most APG to Point Guards this season
    • Young has had 13+ Assists in 4 of last 5 vs CHI, having 10 in the other game

Portland Trailblazers (-12.5) at Houston Rockets, O/U 223.5

  • HOU is 7-2 ATS at Home this season, outscoring opponents 118-106
    • HOU is 6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Home games
  • HOU is 5th in Net Rating at Home this season
  • HOU is 1st in Net Rating over the last 5 games, POR is 22nd
  • HOU is 10-3-1 ATS as a Home Favorite coming off a SU and ATS Win
  • The Under is 6-1 in POR last 7 games as a Road Dog off a Loss

Dallas Mavericks (+2.5) at Denver Nuggets, O/U 226.5

  • The Over is 4-0 this season when DAL is a Road Dog
    • These games have had an average O/U of 228 with an average final score of 119-118
  • The Over has hit in 5 straight this season when DEN plays at Home
  • The Over is 6-1 this season when DEN is coming off a SU Win
  • The Over is 4-0 this season when DEN is coming off an ATS Win
  • DAL is 5th in Off Rating over the last 5 games
  • DAL is 5th in Off Rating, 27th in Def Rating on the Road this season

Sacramento Kings (-2.5) at Los Angeles Clippers, O/U 220.5

  • The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
    • These games have had an average O/U of 231 with an average final score of 107-107
  • The Under is 6-3-1 in LAC Home games this season
    • The Under is 4-0-1 in LAC last 5 Home games
  • LAC is 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Home games this season
  • SAC is 33-11 SU since 2022 as a Favorite coming off a SU Loss
  • The Under is 7-1 this season when LAC is coming off a SU Win
  • The Under is 8-0 this season when LAC is coming off an ATS Win
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