NBA Betting Notes November 25, 2024

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NBA Betting Notes

Orlando Magic (-5.5) at Charlotte Hornets, O/U 213.5

  • ORL is 9-1 SU, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a Favorite against CHA
    • ORL is outscoring opponents in this spot 115-99
    • ORL beat CHA in this spot already on 11/12 114-89
  • CHA has won 4 straight, covered in 5 straight as a Home Dog
  • ORL is 2nd in Net Rating over the last 10 games, CHA is 21st
  • ORL is 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS since the start of last season as a 5+ Point Favorite with a Total < 215
    • ORL has won and covered in 5 straight in this spot
  • ORL is 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Road games off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists

Toronto Raptors (+5.5) at Detroit Pistons, O/U 222.5

  • DET is 0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a Favorite against a team with No Rest
    • DET has been the Favorite in all of these games
    • DET is being outscored 114-107 in this spot
  • DET is 25th in Net Rating at Home this season
  • TOR is 1-18 SU in their last 19 games as a Road Dog
    • TOR has lost 12 straight in this spot
  • DET is 1-7 SU, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Home games with a Rest Advantage
  • Cade Cunningham is doubtful to play
  • RJ Barrett has gone Over 5.5 Rebounds in 8 Straight, 10 of last 11

New Orleans Pelicans (+6.5) at Indiana Pacers, O/U 225.5

  • The Over is 7-0 in IND Last 7 games with No Rest
    • Average O/U of 238, Average Final Score of 127-124
    • This spot is already 2-0 this season
  • IND is 21st, NOP is 26th in Def Rating over the last 5 games
  • The Over is 6-1 in IND Home games this season
  • IND Is 5th in Off Rating at Home
  • NOP is 1-7 SU, 0-8 ATS this season on the Road
    • NOP is being outscored 117-96 in this spot
  • The Over is 16-8-1 since 2023 when IND plays with a Total < 228
    • This spot is 3-1 already this season
  • NOP is 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a Dog with a Rest Advantage

Dallas Mavericks (+2.5) at Atlanta Hawks, O/U 237.5

  • The Over is 8-1 in ATL last 9 games as a Home Favorite
    • Average O/U of 227, Average Final Score of 121-113
  • The Over is 6-0 this season when DAL plays as a Road Dog
    • Average O/U of 227.5, Average Final Score of 119-119
  • DAL is 24th in Def Rating, 6th in Off Rating on the Road this season
  • ATL is 0-10 ATS since last season as a Favorite with a total between 225-240 coming off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists
  • The Over is 7-0 in ATL last 7 games as a Hoem Favorite with a Rest Advantage
    • Average O/U of 245, Average Final Score of 135-130

Los Angeles Clippers (+10.5) at Boston Celtics, O/U 217.5

  • LAC is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
    • LAC is outscoring opponents in this spot 110-96
    • LAC is 1st in Net Rating over these 5 games
  • LAC is 7th in Net Rating on the Road this season
  • BOS is 0-5-1 ATS in this last 6 games as a Home Favorite of 10+ Points
    • BOS is already 0-3 ATS in this spot this season
    • Have not won by more than 4 points in this spot this season
  • LAC is 8-2 SU, 7-2-1 ATS this season coming off a SU Win
    • LAC has Won and Covered in 4 straight in this spot
    • These games are 8-2 to the Under 
  • LAC is 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS this season coming off an ATS Win
    • LAC is 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS in this spot on the Road
    • These games are 9-1 to the Under
  • The Under is 7-0-1 in LAC last 8 games off a game scoring 110+ Points with 25+ Assists
  • Jaylen Brown has gone Over 22.5 Points in 11 of 13 games this season
    • LAC allowing 5th most points to SFs

Portland Trailblazers (+10.5) at Memphis Grizzlies, O/U 232.5

  • The Under is 7-2 this season when POR is a Road Dog
    • Average O/U of 223, Average Final Score of 109-101
  • The Under is 5-0 in POR last 5 games
  • POR is 28th in Off Rating on the Road this season
  • MEM is 8th in Def Rating at Home this season
  • Ja Morant is questionable

New York Knicks (+4.5) at Denver Nuggets, O/U 232.5

  • The Over is 5-0 this season when DEN is coming off an ATS Win
    • Average O/U of 227, Average Final Score of 125-117
  • The Over is 7-1 this season when DEN is coming off a SU Win
    • Average O/U of 224, Average Final Score of 122-120
  • The Over is 6-0 in DEN last 6 games as a Home Favorite off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists

Brooklyn Nets (+12.5) at Golden State Warriors, O/U 224.5

  • BKN is 6-2-1 ATS this season as a Road Dog
    • The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 in this spot
  • GSW is 2-10-1 ATS since 2022 as a Double Digit Home Favorite with a Total > 223
  • The Under is 5-0 in BKN Last 5 games as a Road Double Digit Dog

Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) at Sacramento Kings, O/U 224.5

  • The Under is 19-6 since 2021 when OKC has a Rest Advantage with a Total < 225
    • Average O/U of 217.5, Average Final Score of 103-102
  • OKC is 8th, SAC is 24th in Net Rating over the last 5 games
  • SAC playing 2nd game of a back-to-back, 3rd game in 4 Nights
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 33+ Points in 5 straight against SAC, averaging 38.2 PPG
    • SGA has 33+ Points in 7 of last 10 vs SAC
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