NFL Week 10 Betting Notes

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 NFL Week 10 Betting Notes

The Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against the Ravens

  • BAL has scored 27+ in 3 straight against CIN
  • The Over is 5-0 in these games, averaging 53.6 PPG
  • The Over is 8-1 this season in BAL games
  • The Over is 5-1 in BAL last 6 Thursday games
  • CIN is 4-0 ATS this season on the Road

The Bears are 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS this season in their 3 Home Games

  • CHI is outscoring opponents 28-15 in this spot
  • CHI is 6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Home Games
  • CHI is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 Home 1pm ET Games

The Under is 13-1 in the Bills last 14 games with a Total > 45

  • These games have had an average O/U of 49.7 with an average final score of 23.4-20.4
  • The Under is 4-0 in the Colts last 4 games, averaging 35 total points
  • The Under is 4-1 this season in Bills Road games

The Saints are 0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS since Week 4

  • NO is being outscored in these games 31.8-16.0
  • NO is allowing 412 yards of total offense in these games
  • NO is 1-9 SU, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a Home Dog
  • ATL is 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS this season on the Road

The Under is 7-0-1 in the 49ers last 8 games played at 1pm ET

  • These games have had an average O/U of 44.1 with an average final score of 22.4-14.9
  • The Over has hit in 6 straight TB games
  • This is only the 3rd game for both TB and SF in the last 3 seasons with a total > 50

Since 2023, the Under is 8-1 when a Team is coming off a Game against the Ravens

  • These games have had an average O/U of 43.8 with an average final score of 17.8-15.9
  • This Under has already hit 3 times this season, with an average final score of 19.0-15.0
  • The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 Broncos at Chiefs games
    • DEN is averaging 13.8 PPG in this spot
  • DEN is 23rd in PPG, 3rd in Opponent PPG
  • KC is 4th in Opponent PPG
  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown 9 TDs, 7 INTs in his last 5 games vs DEN
  • Broncos at Chiefs, O/U 41.5

Since Week 16 of 2023, the Over is 10-0 when a Team is coming off a Game against the Chiefs

  • These games have had an average O/U of 43.5 with an average final score of 28.0-26.3
  • The Over has hit in 6 straight TB games
  • SF and TB are both in the Top Ten in PPG over the last 3 weeks
  • SF and TB are both in the Bottom Ten in Opponent PPG over the last 3 weeks
  • 49ers at Buccaneers, O/U 51.0

Lamar Jackson has gone over 48.5 Rushing Yards in 9 of his last 10 games vs Bengals

  • Jackson is averaging 74.5 rushing yards per game in these 10 games, 65+ in 5 of them
  • Only game that Jackson went under 48.5 against CIN was when he had only 2 carries
  • Jackson had 12 rushes for 55 yards in the first matchup against CIN this season

Home Non-Divisional Favorites with a Total < 47 are 12-0 SU since Week 7

  • These Home Favorites are outscoring opponents 30.0-15.8
    • Bears (-6.0) vs Patriots
    • Commanders (-2.5) vs Steelers
    • Chargers (-7.5) vs Titans
  • 3 Leg ML Parlay (+188)

Since 2022, the Lions are 13-2 SU, 14-1 ATS when playing after 4:00pm ET

  • DET is outscoring opponents 29.1-19.5 in this spot
  • DET is already 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in this spot this season
  • DET is 17-5 ATS in Road games since 2022, 8-2 as a Favorite
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