NFL Week 11 Betting Notes

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NFL Week 11 Betting Notes

The Commanders are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games at the Eagles

  • WAS is 8-3-1 ATS since 2023 as a Road Dog
    • The Over is 9-3 in these games, averaging 55.2 total PPG
  • The Over is 5-0 in WAS Road games this season, averaging 57.2 total PPG
  • PHI is 0-3 ATS this season at Home, and have failed to cover in 6 straight Home games
  • Since 2021, the Over is 11-3 when WAS plays on Thursday

Since 2019, the Packers are 10-0 SU, 10-0 ATS playing against the Bears

  • GB is outscoring CHI in 28.6-15.9
  • CHI is dead last in PPG over the last 3 games at 9.0, 7.3 less than the next worst
  • Jordan Love has 561 Passing Yards and 5 Touchdowns in 2 games vs CHI

The Titans are 1-8 ATS this season

  • TEN is 29th in PPG, dead last in Opponent PPG over the last 3 games
  • TEN has only scored more than 20 points once this season
  • MIN is 5th in Opponent PPG over the last 3 games
  • Home Dogs with a Total < 40 are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 games

The Last 8 Teams coming off a Game against the Lions are 0-8 ATS

  • These teams are being outscored 30.0-17.1 in this spot
  • These teams are allowing 414 total yards per game
    • Packers (-5.5) at Bears
    • Texans (-7.5) at Cowboys

Since 2023, the Under is 9-1 when a team is on the Road coming off a Game against the Ravens

  • These games have had an average O/U of 44.0 with an average final score of 17.6-15.7
  • The Under is already 4-0 in this spot this season
  • LAC is 1st in Opponent PPG over the last 3 games

The Over is 9-2-1 since 2021 when the Rams play at 1pm ET

  • These games have had an average O/U of 44.2 with an average final score of 25.0-24.8

Since 2010, the Steelers are 8-2-3 as Home Underdogs of more than 2.5 Points

  • PIT is 7-6 SU in this spot
  • PIT is 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS over the last 4 games
    • PIT is outscoring opponents 30.8-18.2 in these games
  • The Over is 4-0 over PIT last 4 games
  • Since 2008, 3+ Point Favorites in Bal-PIT games are 2-18-3 ATS
    • BAL is 0-10-2 ATS in this spot

The Chiefs are 15-4-1 ATS since 2017 as a Dog

  • KC is 14-6 SU in this spot
  • KC is outscoring opponents 29.7-27.2 in this spot

The Bengals are 12-4 ATS since 2021 as a Road Dog

  • CIN is 8-8 SU in this spot
  • CIN has already covered in this spot twice this season, losing by 1 point each time
  • LAC is 3-0-1 at Home this season
  • CIN is 4th in PPG over the last 3 games

The Over is 9-1 in the last 10 games with a Home Favorite of 7+ with a WP > .650 playing an Opponent with a WP < .400

  • These games have had an average O/U of 44.6 with an average final score of 34.3-20.3
  • The Over is 5-1 in JAX last 6 games
  • Since week 3, DET is averaging 37.0 PPG
  • Lions vs Jaguars, O/U 47.0

Deebo Samuel has 79+ Receiving Yards in 7 of his 8 Career Games against Seattle

  • Samuel has 102+ in 6 of these 8 games
  • Samuel has 54+ Receiving Yards in all 6 games this season with multiple receptions
  • Seattle allowed 94 Yards to Demarcus Robinson and 104 Yards to Cooper Kupp against the Rams
  • Seattle allowed 107 Yards to Khalil Shakir and 70 Yards to Keon Coleman
  • Good Opportunity for a Ladder;
    • 60+ Rec Yards (+110)
    • 70+ Rec Yards (+170)
    • 80+ Rec Yards (+255)
    • 90+ Rec Yards (+370)
    • 100+ Rec Yards (+500)
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