NFL Week 12 Betting Notes

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 NFL Week 12 Betting Notes

Steelers (-3.5) at Browns, O/U 37.0

  • PIT is 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS(T-Best in NFL) this season
  • PIT is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
  • The Over is 4-1 in PIT last 5 games
    • Since 2021, the Under is 7-2 when PIT plays a Divisional Road Game
    • These games have had an average O/U of 38.7 with an average final score of 17.7-15.6
    • PIT has held opponents to 13 or fewer points in 6 of these 9 games
  • CLE is 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS at Home this season, averaging only 17 PPG
    • CLE has allowed 21+ points in all 5 Home games this season
  • CLE is 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS in Home Divisional games since 2022
    • Limiting opponents to 14.9 PPG in this spot
  • PIT is 20-8 ATS since 2022 when the line is no more than 4 points
    • PIT is averaging 30.9 Rushes per game in this spot
    • PIT is 10-4 ATS in this spot as a Favorite
  • Under Mike Tomlin, PIT is limiting opponents to 14.2 PPG on short rest
  • PIT is 7-1-2 ATS since 2015 in the second game of back-to-back Division games
  • The Under is 16-3 since 2013 when PIT allowed less than 20 points in their previous game

Vikings (-3.5) at Bears, O/U 39.5

  • The Under is 9-1 in MIN last 10 games as a Road Favorite
    • MIN is limiting opponents to 12.8 PPG in this spot
  • The Under is 9-1 in MIN last 10 games at CHI
    • These games have had an average O/U of 43.0 with an average final score of 17.6-16.7
  • The Under is 6-1 in CHI last 7 games as a Divisional Home Dog
  • Aaron Jones has score 2+ Touchdowns in 3 of his last 5 games vs CHI
  • Aaron Jones has had 24+ Receiving Yards in 5 straight vs CHI, Rec Yards O/U is 15.5 (-115)
  • DJ Moore has had 51+ Receiving Yards in all 4 career games vs MIN
    • Rec Yards O/U 45.5 (-115)
  • MIN is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on a 3-game win streak
  • The Under is 12-2 since 2023 when a team is at Home off a game against the Packers

Lions (-7.0) at Colts, O/U 49.5

  • DET is tied with PIT for best ATS record in the NFL at 8-2
  • DET is 4-1 ATS on the Road this season, averaging 29.7 PPG
  • DET is outscoring opponents 39.1-17.7 since Week 3
  • DET is 16-4 ATS since 2022 coming off a game scoring 30+ points
  • The Over is 7-2 since 2023 when the Colts are a Home Dog
    • IND is allowing 28.8 PPG in this spot
  • The Over is 8-2 since 2023 when IND plays a Non-Divisional Home Game

Patriots (+7.5) at Dolphins, O/U 46.5

  • MIA is 7-2 ATS since 2022 as a Divisional Favorite
    • MIA is limiting opponents to 15.7 PPG

Buccaneers (-6.5) at Giants, O/U 41.5

  • TB is 11-3 ATS on the Road since 2023
  • TB is 5-0 ATS since 2023 on the Road with a Total < 42
  • NYG is 0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
    • NYG is averaging only 13.6 PPG in these games
  • TB is 10-3 ATS since 2023 in a Non-Divisional game with a Total < 45
  • The Under is 13-2 since 2019 when two teams coming off a Bye play each other
  • The Under is 5-0 in TB last 5 games coming off a Bye

Cowboys (+10.0) at Commanders, O/U 45.5

  • DAL is 3-12 ATS since 2021 as a Dog with a Total > 44
    • DAL is being outscored 27.3-16.1 in this spot
  • This is only the 4th time since 2013 that WAS has been favored over DAL, 0-3 ATS in these games
  • The Under is 11-4-1 in this matchup in WAS with a Total < 45

Chiefs (-10.5) at Panthers, O/U 42.5

  • KC is 8-2-1 ATS since 2019 on the Road coming off a Loss
    • KC is averaging 31.9 PPG in this spot
    • KC is 10-1 in this spot as a 6-Point Teaser Leg
  • CAR is 1-6 ATS since 2023 as a Home Dog of 4+ points

Titans (-7.5) at Texans, O/U 40.5

  • The Under is 11-1 since 2017 when HOU is a Home Favorite in a Divisional game
    • These games have had an average O/U of 44.8 with an average final score of 19.9-16.7
  • TEN is 1-8-1 ATS this season, worst in the NFL
  • HOU is 0-12 ATS since 2019 as a Home Favorite coming off a Road game

Broncos (-6.0) at Raiders, O/U 41.5

  • Since 2018, DEN is 3-10 SU, 2-11 ATS against OAK
    • DEN is averaging only 19.2 PPG in this spot
  • DEN is 5-1 ATS on the Road this season
  • The Over has hit in 4 straight DEN games with a Total < 42
  • The Under is 15-4 since 2018 in DEN Road Divisional games

Cardinals (-1.0) at Seahawks, O/U 47.5

  • ARI is 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
    • Outscoring opponents 26.2-14.2
  • The Under is 4-0 in SEA last 4 games
  • ARI is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 as a Favorite with a total > 47
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