NBA Betting Notes December 2, 2024

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NBA Betting Notes

New Orleans Pelicans (+9.5) at Atlanta Hawks, O/U 228.5

  • The Over is 8-0 in ATL last 8 games as a Home Favorite with a Rest Advantage
    • Average O/U 244.31, Average Final Score of 133-130
    • This spot is already 2-0 this season
  • The Over is 5-1 in ATL games this season as a Home Favorite
  • ATL is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a Home Favorite
  • The Over is 9-1 in ATL last 10 games as a Home Favorite
  • The Under has hit in 5 straight NOP games
  • NOP is now 2-17 SU in their last 19 games, have lost 8 straight
  • NOP is 30th in Net Rating on the Road this season, 5.6 points worse than 29th
  • Jalen Johnson has gone over 19.5 Points in 5 straight, Over in 13 of 17 games this season
    • Johnson had 29-9-8 in the previous matchup this season
  • Jalen Johnson has gone over 1.5 3PM in 6 straight
    • Johnson is averaging 2.5 3PM on 50% in these 6 games
    • NOP is allowing the most 3PM per game over the last 5 games
    • NOP is allowing the 3rd most 3PM per game to Small Forwards

Miami Heat (+10.5) at Boston Celtics, O/U 220.5

  • BOS is 9-4-1 ATS since 2023 as a 10+ Point Favorite with a Total < 221
    • BOS is outscoring opponents by 16.8 PPG in this spot
  • BOS is 4th in Net Rating over the last 5 games
  • The Under is 8-1 in MIA last 9 games with No Rest
    • Average O/U 217.5, Average Final Score of 104-100
  • BOS has failed to cover in 4 straight  playing at Home off a Road game

Brooklyn Nets (+7.5) at Chicago Bulls, O/U 233.5

  • BKN is 8-2-1 ATS as a Road Dog this season
    • BKN has won 4 of these games outright
    • BKN has won 3 straight outright in this spot
  • Zach Lavine has gone over 4.5 Rebounds in 1 of last 5 games, having 3 or fewer in 4 of them
    • BKN is allowing the fewest RPG to Shooting Guards this season

Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5) at Minnesota Timberwolves, O/U 219.5

  • The Under is 11-2-1 in MIN last 14 games as a Home Favorite with a Rest Advantage
    • Average O/U 222, Average Final Score 112-100
    • MIN is 0-2 ATS in this spot this season
  • LAL is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a Dog with a Total < 225
  • The Under has hit in 5 straight LAL games
    • LAL is averaging 103.8 PPG in these games
  • LAL is 25th in Det Rating on the Road this season
  • Anthony Davis has gone over 25.5 Points in 6 of his last 8 vs MIN when playing more than 20 minutes
  • Austin Reaves has gone over 2.5 Rebounds in 3 of last 4 games
    • Reaves has 3+ Rebounds in 9 of last 10 vs MIN
    • MIN is allowing the most RPG to Shooting Guards this season
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