NBA Gambling Notes December 12, 2024

NBA Gambling Notes

Detroit Pistons (+11.5) at Boston Celtics, O/U 226.5

  • BOS is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Home games coming off 25+ Assists and 110+ Points
    • BOS has been a Favorite in all 9 games and is 5-4 SU
    • BOS is 0-6 ATS in this spot already this season
  • The Over is 8-1 in BOS last 9 Home games coming off 25+ Assists and 110+ Points
    • Average O/U 226, Average Final Score 118-117
    • The Over is 5-1 in this spot already this season
  • The Over is 6-0 in DET last 6 Road games
    • Average O/U 221, Average Final Score 118-117
  • The Over is 6-1 in this matchup when played in Boston since 2021
    • BOS is averaging 122 PPG in this spot
  • BOS is 1-4 ATS this season as a Home Double Digit Favorite
    • BOS has only won 1 of these games by more than 11.5 points
  • Jaylen Brown has had 28+ Points in 8 of his last 10 games without Jayson Tatum
    • Brown is averaging 31.5 PPG in this spot
    • Brown has had 28+ Points in 4of of his last 5 games without Jayson Tatum
    • Brown had 28-6-9 in the lone game this season without Tatum
  • Derrick White has had 6+ Assists in his last 5 games without Jayson Tatum
    • White is averaging 9.4 APG in this spot
    • White is averaging 7.25 APG over his last 4 games
  • The Over is 6-0 in DET last 6 games as a Road Dog with a Total < 230
    • Average O/U 219, Average Final Score 119-116
    • DET has scored 120+ in 4 of these games
  • Cade Cunningham has gone over 8.5 Assists in 13 of his last 14 games
    • Cunningham is averaging 10.6 APG in this span
  • BOS is 0-6 ATS at Home this season coming off a game with 110+ Points and 25+ Assists
    • BOS has had an average line of -10.25 with an average final score of 117-117
    • BOS is 3-3 SU in this spot
  • DET is 6-1 ATS this season playing on the Road after having 15+ Turnovers
    • DET is 4-3 SU in this spot, all 7 as a Dog

Toronto Raptors (+10.5) at Miami Heat, O/U 224.5

  • The Over has hit in 4 straight in this matchup
  • TOR is 7-2 ATS this season with a Total < 225
  • The Under is 5-0 in TOR last 5 games on 2 days rest
    • Average O/U 228, Average Final Score 110-101
  • MIA is 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Home games
    • The Over is 4-0 in these games
    • MIA has scored 120+ in all 4 games
  • MIA is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games with more rest than their opponent
    • MIA is outscoring opponents 125-105 in this spot
    • The Over is 4-1 in these games
  • RJ Barrett has had 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games vs MIA
    • Barrett is averaging 28.2 PPG in this spot
    • Barrett is averaging 26.2 PPG over his last 5 games overall
  • RJ Barrett has had 7+ Rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games vs MIA
    • Barrett is averaging 7.8 RPG in this spot
    • Barrett is averaging 7.8 RPG over his last 5 games overall
  • Tyler Herro has gone over 23.5 Points in only 2 of his last 10 games vs TOR
    • Herro is averaging 20.9 PPG in this spot
    • Herro is averaging 26.4 PPG over his last 5 overall
  • Bam Adebayo has only gone over 5.5 Assists in 2 of his last 10 games vs TOR
    • Adebayo is averaging 3.7 APG in this spot
    • Adebayo is averaging 6.6 APG over his last 5 overall

Sacramento Kings (-7.5) at New Orleans Pelicans, O/U 231.5

  • SAC is 0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings with NOP
    • SAC is being outscored 124-107 in these games
  • The Over has hit in 4 straight NOP games with a Total > 220
  • De'Aaron Fox has 26+ Points in 4 of his last 5 games vs NOP
    • Has scored 30+ in 3 of these games
  • De'Aaron Fox has had 5 or fewer Assists in 8 of his last 10 games NOP
    • Fox is averaging 4.8 APG in these games
  • DeMar DeRozan has 24+ Points in all of his last 5 games vs NOP
    • DeRozan is averaging 27.0 PPG in this spot
    • DeRozan is averaging 22.2 PPG over his last 5 games overall

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