NFL Monday Night Football Betting Notes December 9, 2024

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Monday Night Football Betting Notes

Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) at Dallas Cowboys, O/U 49.5

Side Notes

  • DAL is coming off a SU and ATS Win, but DAL is 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS this season at Home

    • DAL is allowing 34.5 PPG at Home, allowing 20+ points in all 6 

  • Since 2021, these teams have met 4 times with DAL being 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS 

    • DAL is outsourcing CIN 24.5-14.2 in these games 

    • The Under is 4-0 in these games

  • CIN is 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS as a Road Favorite this season

    • CIN is holding opponents to 15.0 PPG in this spot

  • CIN is 5-1-1 on the 1Q ML over their last 7 Games

    • CIN has scored in the 1Q in all 7 and held opponents scoreless in 4 

    • CIN has won the 1Q 7-0 in all 3 games this season as a Road Favorite

    • DAL is 0-7 on the 1Q ML over their last 7 games

      • DAL has not scored more than 3 1Q points in any of these 7 games

    • Over the last 3 games, CIN is 4th, DAL is 29th in 1Q Scoring

    • DAL is allowing the most 1Q PPG this season

  • CIN is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a Road Favorite after scoring 30+ points

    • CIN is outsourcing opponents 26.0-19.0 in this spot

    • This spot is already 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS this season

    • CIN won the 1Q 7-0 in both previous occurrences this season, and is 4-0-1 on the 1Q ML in this spot

  • Since 2021, CIN is 10-3 ATS as a Road Non Divisional Favorite

    • CIN is 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS in this spot this season

    • CIN won the 1Q 7-0 in both previous occurrences this season

  • CIN is 15-1 SU, 15-1 ATS since 2015 as a Road Favorite of 3-7 Points

Total Notes

  • The Over is 5-1 this season when DAL plays at Home

  • Betting the Over when DAL is coming off an ATS Win has been Profitable since 2021;

    • Since 2023: 11-1-1 (91.7%)

    • Since 2022: 17-6-1 (73.9%)

    • Since 2021: 22-14-1 (61.1%)

  • Since 2020, the Over is 19-6 when DAL is playing at Home off a SU Win

    • These games have had an average O/U of 47.68 with an average final score of 31.9-25.5 (57.4 Total)

    • This spot is already 3-0 this season, and is 12-1 in its last 13 occurrences 

  • The Over has hit in 5 straight CIN games

    • These games have had an average O/U of 47.8 with an average final score of 34.8-31.4 (66.2 Total)

  • Since Week 7, the Over is 5-0 when a team is coming off a game against the Giants

    • These games have had an average O/U of 45.3 with an average final score of 29.0-25.0 (54.0 Total)

Player Prop Notes

  • Ja’Marr Chase in 3 Career games on Monday Night Football

    • 15 Targets - 12 Rec - 141 Yards - 0 TD

    • 12 - 11 - 149 - 1

    • 7 - 6 - 118 - 2

  • In 5 career Monday Night games, Tee Higgins has never had more than 49 Receiving Yards

    • Higgins has not had more than 3 Receptions in any of these games

    • Higgins has had 60+ Receiving yards in all 4 Road games this season

  • Chase Brown has only Rushed for 76+ yards in 3 of 12 games this season

    • Joe Mixon, in a blowout, is the only runningback over the last 4 games to go over 75.5 yards against DAL

  • Rico Dowdle has 4+ Receptions in 3 of 12 games this season

    • Dowdle has gone under 3.5 Receptions in 4 straight

    • Dowdlw has gone under 18.5 Receiving yards in 4 straight

  • CeeDee Lamb is 1st in the NFL in 1Q Receptions and is 2nd in 1Q Receiving Yards

    • Lamb has 10 more 1Q Receptions than 2nd place

    • Lamb is averaging 2.75 receptions per 1Q, averaging 9.39 yards per catch

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